We analyse the observed climate-driven changes in summer wildfires and their future evolution in a typical Mediterranean environment (NE Spain). By analysing observed climate and fire data from 1970 to 2007, we estimate the response of fire number (NF) and burned area (BA) to climate trends,...

We analyse the impact of climate interannual variability on summer forest fires in Catalonia (northeastern Iberian Peninsula). The study period covers 25 years, from 1983 to 2007. During this period more than 16000 fire events were recorded and the total burned area was more than 240 kha, i.e....

This document is aimed to show the main results of climate projections, under two RCPs, at 2100 obtained in WP A.2.6 “High-resolution climate scenarios” on the geo-hydrological hotspots identified within WP A.2.17 “Analysis of geo-hydrological risk related to climate change” of GEMINA...

The aim of this report is to analyze the sensitivity of the precipitation and the 2-meters mean temperature on the variation of some physical, numerical and tuning parameters in the regional climate model COSMO-CLM over the north and center Italy. The simulations, at a spatial resolution of 8 km...

Here the concept of return period is discussed in terms of the stationarity of the process. If the process is stationarity the concept of return period is well defined and ambiguities do not arise. If the process is non stationary, as it could be any climate driven phenomenon under climate...

This paper analyzes the capabilities of Limited Area Model COSMO-CLM to simulate the main features of the observed climate over an area characterized by complex terrain. A simulation driven by ERA40 Reanalysis of the XX century climate (1971-2000) has been performed at a spatial resolution of 8...

Stochastic disaggregation model, based on coupling of the modified version of the Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse stochastic rainfall model and proportional adjusting procedure, is shown to disaggregate daily observed precipitation to hourly scale. Furthermore synthetic hourly time series are...

This paper provides the main results about the validation of the modeling chain used to estimate the variation in geo-hydrological hazard induced by Climate Changes (CC); it represents one of the milestone for year 2014 of GEMINA project within the work package A.2.17. In particular, the work...

The present study summarised the dataset available used for climate and hydrological studies in China. The main aim is to identify the possible sources of climate and hydrological datasets to be used to validate the hydrological outputs of a GCM/RCM climate model and/or of a coupled...

The present study describes the capability of the regional climate model COSMO-CLM to represent the present climate of the Mediterranean area. To this aim, a simulation over the period 1979-2011 has been performed, using as forcing the ERA-Interim Reanalyses: the purpose is to investigate the...