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more impatient decision maker may experiment more, given lump-sum final payoffs. We show that (a) and (b) are robust to … decisions at each instant: stop or experiment, and then at what level n. The second choice equates the marginal costs and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060773
We study the experimentation dynamics of a decision maker (DM) in a two-armed bandit setup (Bolton and Harris [1999]), where the agent holds ambiguous beliefs regarding the distribution of the return process of one arm and is certain about the other one. The DM entertains Multiplier preferences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852164
In an information cascade experiment participants are confronted with artificial predecessors predicting in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343945
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001624981
This paper develops and tests a model of sequential decision making where a first stage of ranking a set of alternatives is followed by a second stage of determining the value of these same alternatives. The model assumes a boundedly rational Bayesian decision maker who is uncertain about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014101839
We develop a model of social learning from complementary information: Short-lived agents sequentially choose from a large set of flexibly correlated information sources for prediction of an unknown state, and information is passed down across periods. Will the community collectively acquire the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900782
analyzed within the framework of statistical decision theory, in which prior probability distributions of classes of cases are …-Making ; Uncertainty ; Information ; Bayesian Analysis ; Statistical Decision Theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008936420
Marketers often use A/B testing as a tool to compare marketing treatments in a test stage and then deploy the better-performing treatment to the remainder of the consumer population. While these tests have traditionally been analyzed using hypothesis testing, we re-frame them as an explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897659
This paper revisits Wald's (1947) sequential experimentation paradigm, now assuming that an impatient decision maker can run variable-size experiments each period at some increasing and strictly convex cost before finally choosing an irreversible action. We translate this natural discrete time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762616
Plott, Wit & Yang (2003) conduct a betting market experiment and find: First, information was aggregated. This suggests … replicate their experiment. Our results suggest that the paradox seems due to aggregate rather than individual level data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153388