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In this paper we investigate natural gas producer's reactions to changes in market prices. We estimate price elasticities of aggregated supply in the most competitive market for natural gas: the United States. Using monthly time series data form 1987 to 2012 our analysis is based on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335927
This paper investigates the statistical features and the macroeconomic determinants of youth unemployment in a number of European countries. First, it explores its short and long memory properties by estimating both autoregressive and fractional integration models. This type of analysis sheds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352388
Additionally to the financial crisis causing a world recession, Liechtenstein's financial sector has been challenged by the so-called Zumwinkel-Affair when a whistle-blower sold data of hundreds of tax evaders to international tax authorities. This paper investigates the impact of this affair,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368150
Researchers seldom find evidence of I(2) in exchange rates, prices, and other macroeconomics time series when they test the order of integration using univariate Dickey-Fuller tests. In contrast, when using the multivariate ML trace test they frequently find double unit roots in the data. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368461
There are a number of econometrics tools to deal with the different types of situations in which cointegration can appear: I(1), I(2), seasonal, polyno- mial, etc. There are also different kinds of Vector Error Correction models related to these situations. The authors propose a unified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555274
The aim of this article is to examine how the dynamics of correlations between two emerging countries (Brazil and Mexico) and the US evolved from January 2003 to December 2013. The main contribution of this study is to explore whether the plunging stock market in the US, in the aftermath of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559137
The paper develops a novel realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility model of multivariate returns and realized covariances that incorporates asymmetry and long memory (hereafter the RMESV-ALM model). The matrix exponential transformation guarantees the positive-definiteness of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586691
This paper applies two measures to assess spillovers across markets: the Diebold Yilmaz (2012) Spillover Index and the Hafner and Herwartz (2006) analysis of multivariate GARCH models using volatility impulse response analysis. We use two sets of data, daily realized volatility estimates taken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586699
An early development in testing for causality (technically, Granger non-causality) in the conditional variance (or volatility) associated with financial returns, was the portmanteau statistic for non-causality in variance of Cheng and Ng (1996). A subsequent development was the Lagrange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586709
By international comparison the productivity development of the overall economy in Germany has taken a serious hit after the reunification boom. Since then Germany has fallen behind not only in comparison to the USA and emerging-market nations like South Korea, but also in comparison to other EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601256