Puerto Rico's unique characteristics as a U.S. territory allow us to examine the channels through which (sub)sovereign default risk can have real effects on the macroeconomy. Post-2012, during the period of increased default probabilities, the cointegrating relationship between real activity in...

This paper develops a sovereign debt model with investment, in which the country's productivity shock has two components: a private shock (such as a change in domestic institutions) and a public shock (such as a publicly observed technological change). The government observes the private shock,...

This paper develops a theory of sovereign borrowing, where the interaction between the asymmetry of information and the lack of commitment for repayment leads to a novel signaling motive for the issuance of sovereign debt. If the government is more informed than foreign investors about a...

We embed downward wage rigidity into a rational bubble model. We analytically characterize how the collapse of bubbles can interact with wage rigidity to generate deep and protracted recessions with involuntary unemployment, such as those in Japan or Spain