This document describes the numerical models and tools constituting the integrated system for the qualitative and quantitative assessment of the hydrogeological risks due to climate change developed in the framework of the GEMINA project (product P91). In particular the work package 6.2.17...

Between the 24th and the 26th of December 2013 Northern Italy was interested by heavy and diffuse precipitations events. The same stormy event, called "Christmas storm", interested all European area producing numerous damages and diseases especially in France and UK. The aim of the present...

In this paper, the capabilities of COSMO CLM on simulating the main features of the observed climate over the whole Mediterranean area have been analyzed. The investigated period is 1971-2000. A simulation driven by ERA40 Reanalysis has been performed at a spatial resolution of 14 km in order to...

This paper analyzes the capabilities of the regional climate model COSMO-CLM to simulate the main features of the observed climate over the entire Italian domain. Two simulations on the period 1971-2000, driven by ERA40 Reanalysis and by the CMCC-MED global model respectively, have been...

In Turco et al. (2013a, [19]), three MOS methods (Linear-Scaling, Quantile-Mapping and MOS Analog) have been proposed and they have shown skill to downscale daily precipitation outputs of the ERA40-driven COSMO-CLM model over three Italian domain (Orvieto, Po river basin, Sardinia). This study...

This report provides a preliminary analysis of discharges, precipitation and temperature data since 1923 for 18 closure sections of Po river and its tributaries. First we have investigated the consistency of the data, evaluating the inter-basin correlations, and the relationship between...

Climate shows a natural variability that influences the dynamics of river discharges. In particular, intense precipitations would cause floods, while prolonged dry periods are associated to droughts phenomena. In the Mediterranean area, climate change is expected to increase the frequency of...

This document is aimed to show the main results of climate projections, under two RCPs, at 2100 obtained in WP A.2.6 “High-resolution climate scenarios” on the geo-hydrological hotspots identified within WP A.2.17 “Analysis of geo-hydrological risk related to climate change” of GEMINA...

This paper provides the main results about the validation of the modeling chain used to estimate the variation in geo-hydrological hazard induced by Climate Changes (CC); it represents one of the milestone for year 2014 of GEMINA project within the work package A.2.17. In particular, the work...

This paper analyzes the capabilities of Limited Area Model COSMO-CLM to simulate the main features of the observed climate over an area characterized by complex terrain. A simulation driven by ERA40 Reanalysis of the XX century climate (1971-2000) has been performed at a spatial resolution of 8...