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that quot;at the end of 2004, world proven crude oil reserves stood at 1,144,013 million barrels, of which 896,659 million … there in the world?Another no less anxious question says: Will we ever see a repeat of the 1970s oil crisis? And guess what … Lebanon, etc? Ok. The world will perhaps not see another 1973's oil crisis in the same terms; yet anxiety is still sticking up …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732653
In this paper we examine the empirical performance of affine jump diffusion models with stochastic volatility in a time series study of crude oil prices. We compare four different models and estimate them using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. The support for a stochastic volatility model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070384
This article scrutinizes the relationship between the U.S. crude oil and natural gas prices. The relationship exhibits regime changes, which depend on technological, economic and geopolitical factors. We find that crude oil and natural gas prices decouple over two periods of about three years...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240409
We provide empirical evidence on the impact of oil supply shocks on global aggregates. To do this, we first extract structural oil supply shocks from a standard oil-price determination model found in the literature. Impulse response functions are then estimated using local projections. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052956
This study investigates the price volatility of metals, using the GARCH and GJR models. First we examine the persistence of volatility and the leverage effect across metal markets taking into account the presence of outliers, and second we estimate the effects of oil price shocks on the price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327443
This paper investigates the impact of oil price variations on sectoral inflation for a sample of 10 top oil importing and exporting countries. Specifically, we analyze the effects of oil prices on the consumer price index using monthly data spanning the July 2009 to February 2021 period. Two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014454468
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities. To achieve this goal, we decompose an oil price shock to its underlying components, including macroeconomics and oil specific shocks. The applied methodology is the structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438674
This study provides analytical insight on modelling macroeconomic and oil price volatility in Nigeria. Mainly, the paper employed GARCH model and its variants (GARCH-M, EGARCH and TGARCH) with daily, monthly and quarterly data. The findings reveal that: all the macroeconomic variables considered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460195
This study investigates changes in the relationship between oil prices and the US economy from a long-term perspective. Although neither of the two series (oil price and GDP growth rates) presents structural breaks in mean, we identify different volatility periods in both of them, separately....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649469
The macroeconomic outcomes of oil price fluctuations have been at the forefront of the debate among economists, financial analysts and policymakers over the last decades. Among others, the oil price-food price nexus has particularly received a great deal of attention. While an abundant body of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020543