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The persistent nature of equity volatility is investigated by means of a multi-factor stochastic volatility model with time varying parameters. The parameters are estimated by means of a sequential matching procedure which adopts as auxiliary model a time-varying generalization of the HAR model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782578
risky asset, and the UK Treasury bill as the risk free asset in forming the investor's portfolio. We identify the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817180
This paper solves the dynamic asset allocation problem under stock return predictability based on the dividend price ratio with regime shifts and parameter uncertainty in a fully Bayesian framework. Intertemporal hedging demands are simultaneously induced by predictability, regime shifts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089866
You're probably familiar, at least in passing, with the 'convexity' of long-term bonds - i.e. that yields dropping 1% produce a bigger price move than yields rising 1%. A significant amount of brainpower has gone into understanding all the ramifications of this convexity in the fixed income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902324
We investigate how systematic, continuous, and discrete (jump) risk affects the cross section of expected stock returns …-frequency betas associated with intraday continuous and discontinuous risk premia. To improve our consistency, we use several … statistical robustness levels and multiple frequencies. We empirically find that both continuous and discontinuous risk premia are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865363
Multilevel models are a generalized form of traditional linear regression models and have several benefits relative to traditional OLS regression including the regularization of parameter estimates, the ability to incorporate prior information, better out-of-sample forecasts, desirable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867650
forecastability of bond risk premia. We find that there exist plausible prior specifications for predictability for excess S&P 500 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968480
coefficients and in forecasting models, leading to mitigation of estimation risk and forecasting improvements. Finally, we relate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978294
This paper examines the properties of the variance risk premium (VRP). We propose a flexible asset pricing model that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006382