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A new Wald-type statistic is proposed for hypothesis testing based on Bayesian posterior distributions. The new statistic can be explained as a posterior version of Wald test and have several nice properties. First, it is well-defined under improper prior distributions. Second, it avoids...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918346
This paper studies inference for the average treatment effect in randomized controlled trials where treatment status is determined according to a "matched pairs" design. By a "matched pairs" design, we mean that units are sampled i.i.d. from the population of interest, paired according to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011997352
This paper reviews important concepts and methods that are useful for hypothesis testing. First, we discuss the Neyman-Pearson framework. Various approaches to optimality are presented, including finite-sample and large-sample optimality. Then, some of the most important methods are summarized,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203753
A simple technique is proposed for increasing the asymptotic efficiency of tests of non-nested hypotheses. The principle is to consider the asymptotic regression of one hypothesis test on another. Under certain conditions this produces a test with a smaller variance under the null hypothesis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219538
We argue that frequentist hypothesis testing - the dominant statistical evaluation paradigm in empirical research - is fundamentally unsuited for analysis of the nonexperimental data prevalent in economics and other social sciences. Frequentist tests comprise incompatible repeated sampling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358427
Multivariate distributional forecasts have become widespread in recent years. To assess the quality of such forecasts, suitable evaluation methods are needed. In the univariate case, calibration tests based on the probability integral transform (PIT) are routinely used. However, multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472781
We review tests of null hypotheses that consist of many subsidiary null hypotheses, including tests that have not received much attention in the econometrics literature. We study test performance in the context of specification testing for linear regressions based on a Monte Carlo study....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505804
We introduce new stylometry tools based on the sliced conditional compression complexity of literary texts which are inspired by the nearly optimal application of the incomputable Kolmogorov conditional complexity (and presumably approximates it). Whereas other stylometry tools can occasionally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003634789
In this paper we analyse bootstrap procedures for systems cointegration tests with a prior adjustment for deterministic terms suggested by Saikkonen & Lütkepohl (2000b) and Saikkonen, Lütkepohl & Trenkler (2006). The asymptotic properties of the bootstrap test procedures are derived and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003324256
Asymptotic and bootstrap tests are studied for testing whether there is a relation of stochastic dominance between two distributions. These tests have a null hypothesis of nondominance, with the advantage that, if this null is rejected, then all that is left is dominance. This also leads us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301664