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The jungle model with an equal number of agents and objects is enriched by adding a language, which is a set of orderings over the set of agents. An assignment of an agent to an object is justified within a group of agents if there is an ordering according to which that agent is the best-suited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536869
We experimentally study how people form predictive models of simple data generating processes (DGPs), by showing subjects data sets and asking them to predict future outputs. We find that subjects: (i) often fail to predict in this task, indicating a failure to form a model, (ii) often cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536981
Using simulated patients to mimic nine established non-communicable and infectious diseases over 27 trials, we assess ChatGPT's effectiveness and reliability in diagnosing and treating common diseases in low- and middle-income countries. We find ChatGPT's performance varied within a single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014634500
We use quantifiers and selection functions to represent simultaneous move games. Quantifiers and selection functions are examples of higher-order functions. A higher order function is a function whose domain is itself a set of functions. Thus, quantifiers and selection func- tions allow players...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441849
We use quantifiers and selection functions to generalize the classical economic approach to choice. Our framework encompasses preference and utility based approaches as special cases, but also extends to non-maximizing behavior and context-dependent motives such as social concerns. We adapt the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441850
We propose novel nonparametric estimators for stochastic volatility and the volatility of volatility. In doing so, we relax the assumption of a constant volatility of volatility and therefore, we allow the volatility of volatility to vary over time. Our methods are exceedingly simple and far...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200570
This is an introductory article which explains the importance of explicit consideration and modeling of causality, contrary to current econometric practice, in order to use data set for extraction of meaningful information. One of the easiest to understand approaches to causality is via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610979
We consider decision problems under complete ignorance and extend the minimax regret principle to situations where, after taking an action, the decision maker does not necessarily learn the state of the world. For example, if the decision maker only learns what the outcome is, then all she knows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655890
In the decades following WWII, the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics came to represent new technical standards that informed most advances in economic theory. The public emergence of this community was manifest at a conference held in June 1949 titled Activity Analysis of Production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669390
As a contribution toward the ongoing discussion about the use and mis-use of p-values, numerical examples are presented demonstrating that a p-value can, as a practical matter, give you a really different answer than the one that you want.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696226