The goal of this paper is to construct leading indicators that anticipate inflation cycle turning points on a real time … monitoring basis. As a first step, turning points of the IPCA inflation are determined using a periodic stochastic Markov … is then used to extract common cyclical movements in a set of variables that display predictive content for inflation …

adjustment rule, under alternative inflation targets, in terms of output losses in a macroeconomic model, using European Union … credibility, and that a positive inflation target, as opposed to zero inflation, leads to higher and less volatile output. These … countries supports country-specific flexible inflation targeting …

useful for predicting inflation. In addition, countries where slack (and potential growth) is overestimated to a larger …

inflation targeting result in a binding lower bound one-fourth of the time as well as inflation and output exhibiting large … purchases. Makeup strategies, especially average inflation targeting with a long averaging window, perform better than inflation …

equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We find that simple feedback rules that implement inflation … targeting result in a binding lower bound one-fourth of the time as well as inflation and output exhibiting large downward … purchases. Makeup strategies, especially average inflation targeting with a long averaging window, perform better than inflation …

of inflation risks. The empirical application shows that trading off monetary and macroprudential policy reduces the … overall costs related to inflation and financial instability. This can be achieved by changing the preferences of the central … bank, lengthening the monetary policy horizon and by a more flexible inflation target. Estimation results of a probit model …

After the introduction of a stabilization program Israeli inflation decreased from 400% in 1985 to 2% in 2013. This … process is defined by three clear steps of high, medium and low inflation. The break dates are in line with major economic …

We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation … rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation …-in-difference framework. We find that inflation targeting is successful in locking-in already low inflation rather than reducing high …

After the introduction of a stabilization program Israeli inflation decreased from 400% in 1985 to 2% in 2013. This … hypothesis that inflation moved in distinct steps characterized by constant levels with short-lived fluctuations around them … process is defined by three clear steps of high, medium and low inflation. The break dates are in line with major economic …