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Rule-Based Forecasting: Using domain knowledge in time series extrapolation

Armstrong, J. Scott; Adya, Monica; Collopy, Fred - 2001

Rule-Based Forecasting (RBF) is an expert system that uses judgment to develop and apply rules for combining extrapolations. The judgment comes from two sources, forecasting expertise and domain knowledge. Forecasting expertise is based on more than a half century of research. Domain knowledge...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009484509

Polar bear population forecasts : a public-policy forecasting audit

Armstrong, Jon Scott; Green, Kesten C.; Soon, Willie - In: Interfaces : the INFORMS journal on the practice of … 38 (2008) 5, pp. 382-405

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003783027

A commentary on polar bear population forecasts : a public-policy forecasting audit

Cochran, James J. - In: Interfaces : the INFORMS journal on the practice of … 38 (2008) 5, pp. 396-400

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003783042

Unscientific forecasts and wise decisions : commentary on Armstrong, Green, and Soon

Goodwin, Paul - In: Interfaces : the INFORMS journal on the practice of … 38 (2008) 5, pp. 400-402

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003783048

Commentary : polar bear population forecasts ; a public-policy forecasting audit

Murphy, Frederic H. - In: Interfaces : the INFORMS journal on the practice of … 38 (2008) 5, pp. 402-404

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003783051

What is the appropriate public-policy response to uncertainty? : reply

Armstrong, Jon Scott; Green, Kesten C.; Soon, Willie - In: Interfaces : the INFORMS journal on the practice of … 38 (2008) 5, pp. 404-405

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003783059

Making progress in forecasting

Armstrong, Jon Scott; Fildes, Robert - In: International journal of forecasting 22 (2006) 3, pp. 433-441

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003354131

Using quasi-experimental data to develop empirical generalizations for persuasive advertising

Armstrong, Jon Scott; Patnaik, Sandeep - In: Journal of advertising research 49 (2009) 2, pp. 170-175

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003860548

Significance tests harm progress in forecasting : comment

Stekler, Herman O. - In: International journal of forecasting 23 (2007) 2, pp. 329-330

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003483842

Comments on "Significance tests harm progress in forecasting"

Ord, John Keith - In: International journal of forecasting 23 (2007) 2, pp. 331-332

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003483858