This paper reconsiders the nature of the trends (i.e. deterministic or stochastic) in the Nelson and Plosser (1982) series, both for the original and for an extended data set. For this purpose, I employ two tests that have been recently introduced by Enders and Lee (2006) and Becker et. al....

When faced with a big problem, it is natural to summarize the data en route to a solution. But accepting summary as fact gives up evidence for convenience. Statistical measures from aggregate data may only be capable of indication or trends over time. Only consistency provides a mathematical...

Rational inattention theory is economic theory that recognizes that people have finite information-processing capacity, in the sense of Shannon and engineering information theory. This approach is still in the early stages of development, but it promises to provide a unified explanation for some...

This paper reports the stylised facts resulting from the tests of rival macroeconomic models in explaining the Australian business cycle during the sample period 1966(3)-1995(3). The dominant rival paradigms such as the New Classical, Keynesian and the Real Business Cycle theories have been...

This paper explores the usefulness of the dynamic disequilibrium approach for modelling the US aggregate goods market.

Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2007) (CKM) show that a large class of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with various frictions and shocks is observationally equivalent to a benchmark real business cycle (RBC) model with correlated "wedges" in the RBC model's first-order...

The following highly-cited research monograph, although widely available in libraries, is now out of print: William A. Barnett, Consumer Demand and Labor Supply, North Holland, Amsterdam, 1981. In case you do not have access to the printed book, I have scanned it and put it online below. Since...

This paper presents preliminary results of modelling the Lithuanian block of the ESCB Multi-Country Model, LT_MCM. The theoretical structure of the LT_MCM is in line with most current mainstream macro models, i.e. supply factors determine the long-run equilibrium, while output is demand...

This paper reconsiders the nature of the trends (i.e. deterministic or stochastic) in macroeconomic time series. For this purpose, the paper employs two new tests that display robustness to structural breaks of unknown forms, irrespective of the date and/or location of the breaks. These tests...

In Part One of this paper we use the harmonic analogy of a musical octave to analyze mathematic ratios of U.S. real GNP. These ratios are generated by bringing together figures for U.S. real GNP over intervals of time – “spreads of years” – as numerator and denominator in a single...