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expansionary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy in … the sense that it induces lower inflation and employment than expected. Increased transparency makes the bank's reputation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010128043
output-inflation tradeoffs and their business cycles are perfectly synchronised. Under supply shocks, welfare implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316488
can precommit, even in the absence of the traditional inflation bias. This paper quantifies the welfare differential …-consistent models. From the precommitment and discretionary solutions we calculate the permanent deviation of inflation from target that … in welfare terms is equivalent to moving from discretion to precommitment, the inflation equivalent. In the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584045
conventional wisdom, it is found that price-level targeting leads to a better trade-off between inflation and output …-gap variability than inflation targeting, when the central bank acts under discretion. In some cases, price-level targeting under … dircretion results in the same equilibrium as inflation targeting under commitment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584203
In recent years, activist monetary policy rules responding to inflation and the level of economic activity have been … advanced as a means of achieving effective output stabilization without inflation. Advocates of such policies suggest that … capacity as the primary underlying cause of the 1970s inflation and suggests that apparent differences in the framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584494
shortfalls in inflation and output relative to exogenous trends, and the policy rate is kept at the ELB until the joint shortfall … is made up. Bernanke's second proposal adds only the cumulative inflation shortfall since the beginning of an ELB episode … directly to an otherwise standard Taylor rule. This cumulative shortfall in inflation from the 2 percent objective can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016089
In this article, the issue of the monetary independence problem in view of the Romania's European Monetary Union accession is investigated empirically. It is frequently argued that for such a country, the main cost of participation in a currency area is the loss of monetary policy independence....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890553
We study the characteristics of inflation targeting as a shock absorber, using quarterly data for a large panel of … natural disasters. We find that inflation targeting improves macroeconomic performance following such exogenous shocks. It … lowers inflation, raises output growth, and reduces inflation and growth variability compared to alternative monetary regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790769
This paper examines the impact of several different factors on the credibility of the Federal Reserve's monetary targets. Two factors appear to explain why the targets became less credible during the 1980s. First, the Fed's shift from M1 to M2 targets reduced credibility because the latter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014213746
the economy, when assuming that the monetary authority put higher weight on inflation stabilization than society. We … demonstrate that inflation-conservatism unambiguously leads to social welfare losses if the fiscal authority acts strategically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220689