Following a phase of near-constant living standards lasting from Stone Age until the onset of the Industrial Revolution, a large number of countries have experienced growth takeoffs, in which stagnation gives way to sustained economic growth. What causes some countries to enter a growth takeoff,...

We model demand-led growth with endogenous adjustment of labor supply and productivity to accommodate the demand-led path, reconciling Harrod's warranted rate of demand growth with supply. The model delivers a range of growth paths and unemployment rates rather than a single “natural rate.”...

This article provides a knowledge-based and energy-centred unified growth model of the transition from limited to sustained economic growth. We model the transition between: (i) a pre-modern organic regime defined by limited growth in per capita output, high fertility, low levels of human...

We propose an innovation-driven growth model in which education is determined by family background and cognitive ability. We show that compulsory schooling can move a society from elite education to mass education, which then triggers market R&D. This means that our model rationalizes two...

This paper discovers that Frank Ramsey had turned his growth model upside down to obtain the opposite outcome from expected. Subsequently, this paper refines his upright model to derive all his dream results. When Ramsey's dream is correct, any other definition of growth must be rejected

We compute steady-state economic growth - defined as the rate of growth that the economy would converge to in the absence of new shocks. This rate can be computed in real-time by means of a parsimonious time-varying parameter (TVP) VAR model. Our procedure offers a relatively agnostic estimation...

Structural change is a relatively simple (continuous) process having restricted limit-properties. All processes which can be classified as "structural change" inherit these limit-properties. Limit-properties of processes play an important role in neoclassical growth theory. We show that (i) many...

We present an augmented stochastic version of the Solow neoclassical growth model to examine whether financial factors -- expressed as deviations from their trend -- represent important business cycle drivers.Our novel framework is used to study the dynamics of the US growth over the period...