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Financially closed economies insure themselves against current-account shocks using international reserves. We characterize the optimal management of reserves using an open-economy model of precautionary savings and emphasize several results. First, the welfare-based opportunity cost of reserves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977747
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output - the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011202
current account to a country-specific transitory shock is too large, and (ii) the fluctuations in the current account are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066771
This paper analyzes the dynamics of risk premia, real exchange rates and portfolio movements in a two-country, two-good, two-bond model. We use an asymmetric set-up in the model, where one of the countries is emerging and the other one is developed and both countries issue bonds in domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036543
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001726852
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478237
We empirically examine the response of cross-border capital flows to economic uncertainty. Using bilateral banking flow data, we show that while banks reduce their exposure to a foreign country when it becomes more risky, they tend to increase their exposure to their home country in bad times (a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852252
frictions for business cycle volatility. In our empirical analysis, we demonstrate that stylised facts suggest that countries … with more developed financial systems have lower business cycle volatility. Financial openness has no strong impact on … business cycle volatility, in contrast. In our theoretical analysis, we use a dynamic general equilibrium model to study the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014072512
(productivity shocks) and external shocks to terms of trade and the foreign demand. A comparison of the volatility of the … in terms of their implied volatility for the considered macroeconomic variables. A two-country version of the Calvo …) inflation, but still allow high volatility in the nominal exchange rate to stabilize the real economy in face of shocks. The low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458107
This paper studies the optimal choice of exchange rate regimes between two large currency areas. It provides a positive and normative analysis of alternative monetary policy rules in a model with sticky prices, monopolistic competition, and frictions in the processes of capital accumulation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320290