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investigates the driving factors of disagreement, paying special attention to the influence of monetary authorities' credibility …' credibility; this relationship is positive in the case of the growth rate of industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865624
Distortions introduced by targeting nominal income growth, or an exchange rate peg, in the trade-off between inflation and output in the stabilization of shocks to supply and terms of trade cannot be eliminated simultaneously. If supply shocks are optimally stabilized, targeting an exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074036
incorporate information about future interest rate announcements: "inattention", "credibility", "finite planning horizon", and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241145
In this paper we study the impact of a temporary lack of credibility in a transition to price stability. We quantify … the effects of a period of disinflation on temporary output losses, and the impact of the lack of credibility on the … may not disappear in an environment with imperfect credibility, depending on the speed of learning relative to the speed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014028053
We use a version of the Fuhrer-Moore model to study the effects of expectations and central bank credibility on the … credibility (full versus partial). In general, the various specifications exhibit qualitatively similar behavior and can …, the specification with adaptive expectations and partial credibility is the only one to capture the temporary rise in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068572
Empirical evidence suggests that a monetary shock induces the exchange rate to overshoot its long-run level. The estimated magnitude and timing of the overshooting, however, varies across studies. This paper generates delayed overshooting in a new Keynesian model of a small open economy by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991128
For the academic audience, this paper presents the outcome of a well-identified, large change in the monetary policy rule from the lens of a standard New Keynesian model and asks whether the model properly captures the effects. For policymakers, it presents a cautionary tale of the dismal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083478
This paper re-investigates the implications of monetary policy rules on changes in exchange rate, in a risk-adjusted, uncovered interest parity model with unrestricted parameters, emphasizing the importance of modeling market expectations of monetary policy. I use consensus forecasts as a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009244259
We use a standard new Keynesian model to evaluate the cost of disinflation - measured by the sacrifice ratio, the central bank's loss function, and the welfare cost - in a small open economy vis-à-vis a closed economy. Disinflation is either more costly or less beneficial in the small open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695263
This paper makes three contributions to the supply-side theory of the real effects of exchange-rate-based disinflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014168988