The globalisation on financial markets and the development of financial derivatives has increased not only chances but also potential risk within the banking industry. Especially market risk has gained major significance since market price variation of interest rates, stocks or exchange rates...

We propose a general test for exogeneity that is robust against distributional misspecification. The test can also be used to identify other types of misspecifications, such as the presence of a random coefficient. The idea is to sort the data with respect to a variable (a sorting score) and...

The globalisation on financial markets and the development of financial derivatives has increased not only chances but also potential risk within the banking industry. Especially market risk has gained major significance since market price variation of interest rates, stocks or exchange rates...

In view of applications to diagnostic tests of ARMA models, the asymptotic behavior of multivariate empirical and copula processes based on residuals of ARMA models is investigated. Multivariate empirical processes based on squared residuals and other functions of the residuals are also...

[Update: Within four weeks of the original publication of this research report, Risk Magazine reported in its 28th February 2012 issue story titled 'Goodbye VaR? Basel to Consider Other Risk Metrics': "A review of trading book capital rules, due to be launched in March by the Basel Committee on...

Tail risk refers to the possibility that a rare event would adversely affect the value of a portfolio in a significant manner. It became much more relevant due to recent periods of strong market turbulence.We describe how to quantify such risk, which tail risk protection strategies were...

We propose a general test for exogeneity that is robust against distributional misspecification. The test can also be used to identify other types of misspecifications, such as the presence of a random coefficient. The idea is to sort the data with respect to a variable (a sorting score) and...

This paper is concerned with the study of some fundamental aspects of the BDS test. Brock, Dechert, Scheinkman & LeBaron (Econometric Reviews, 1996) propose this non-parametric tool as a test of the null hypothesis of an independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) time series, with power...

A model selection procedure based on a general criterion function, with an example of the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC) using quasi-likelihood functions, is considered for dynamic non-nested models. We propose a robust test which generalizes Lien and Vuong's (1987) test with a...