[Update: Within four weeks of the original publication of this research report, Risk Magazine reported in its 28th February 2012 issue story titled 'Goodbye VaR? Basel to Consider Other Risk Metrics': "A review of trading book capital rules, due to be launched in March by the Basel Committee on...

In this paper we present a forecasting method for time series using copula-based models for multivariate time series. We study how the performance of the predictions evolve when changing the strength of the different possible dependencies, as well as the structure of the dependence. We also look...

Diversification has been long considered an essential part of investing for the long term. Our paper aims to look further on portfolio diversification and how asset allocation can be optimized. We suggest that the selection of investments in a portfolio should be based on how the market behaves...

We propose linear programming tests for spanning and intersection based on stochasticdominance rather than mean-variance analysis. An empirical application investigates thediversification benefits to US investors from emerging equity markets

We argue that Islamic principles, in particular the avoidance of ribā and gharar should be applied with respect to real economic value rather than to monetary value in terms of conventional currency. In order to reconcile monetary value with economic value, we propose a reference currency...

In this note we derive closed formulas for the quantiles of a class of cumulative distribution functions (CDF) that can be expressed as mixtures. Generally quantiles of mixtures are only computable numerically. In this case, we assume that the support of the component densities are disjoint,...

This paper investigates one main of credit derivatives instruments, known as credit default swaps. CDS is very popular instruments in the credit market which is trading by governments, firms, investors. Credit default swaps, is contracted between two parties for a one party payment small amount...

When the subprime crisis started to emerge, collateralized products based on Credit Default Swap (CDS) exposures combined with security features seemed to be a more rational alternative to classic asset backed securities. Constant Proportion Collateralized Debt Obligations (CPDOs) are a mixture...