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This paper analyzes stock market reactions to election polls. Stock markets anticipate the impact of events on future … cash flows. Current values depend on future cash flows and risk prospects. We posit that election polls are indications of … election, we hypothesize that stock market reacts negatively to the prospect of Barack Obama winning the election. We test this …
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The dominant assumption is that the Obama campaign in the 2008 election was able to effectively utilize the Internet as …
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) project. The survey, composed of three waves, was conducted in Brazil in 2010, a presidential election year, and is composed …
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