Hourly labor costs in the manufacturing sector of seven EC countries, the USA and Canada are used to test the factor price convergence (FPC) by employing Johansen’s multivariate cointegration tests. We also examine if there is a two-way causality in wages between two groups of countries...

Previous literature on the stability of the US money demand function suggests mixed results. In this article, we study the stability of the money demand function from the standpoint of structural changes in the function. We first investigate if a stable money demand function can be found for the...

Develops a method of forecasting foreign exchange rate by normal mixture model (NMM). Initially establishes a set of exchange rate models and switches from one model to another probabilistically, depending on supply shocks or government policy changes. By assuming that the population...

In this paper we analyze macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting policy in New Zealand using Markov switching model with one time permanent break. Our results show that the inflation targeting policy has significantly changed the inflation dynamics in the New Zealand economy. The Markov...

Utlizing Johansen's (1988) multivariate cointegration testing procedure, we find a cointegrating vector between the outputs of five major industrialized nations for the fixed exchange rate period. However, this relationship breaks down for the flexible exchange rate era. We argue that the...

This letter re-examines the role of commercial loans versus demand deposits in the monetary transmission mechanism using short-run and long-run sequential causality testing procedures designed by Toda and Phillips. Empirical results support the credit view that bank loans are as good a predictor...

This paper examines if the law of one price holds under different exchange rate regimes and if a simultaneous relationship exists among prices of different countries. The findings show that prices in industrial countries are related, as suggested by the monetary approach. Confirming the law of...

A time series measure of expectations is used to demonstrate the existence of an inverse relationship between inflation and real stock prices, even after controlling for output shocks. This provides some evidence against Fama's famous conjecture (Fama, E., 1981, Stock returns, real activity,...