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This paper reports on the result of a Monte Carlo study. The latter investigates the performance of various versions of the Conformity test (CCT) for the existence and rank of cointegration, as given in Johansen (J) (1988), (1991), and the stochastic trends qf(k,m) test (SW), as given in Stock...
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We test and report on time series modelling and forecasting using several US. Leading economic indicators (LEI) as an input to forecasting real US. GDP and the unemployment rate. These time series have been addressed before, but our results are more statistically significant using more recently...
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A new type of momentum based on the signs of past returns is introduced. This momentum is driven primarily by sign dependence, which is positively related to average return and negatively related to return volatility. An empirical application using a universe of commodity and financial futures...
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