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We formalize the Keynesian insight that aggregate demand driven by sentiments can generate output fluctuations under rational expectations. When production decisions must be made under imperfect information about demand, optimal decisions based on sentiments can generate stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065384
the resulting mechanism operates in response to a positive exogenous shock consider an innovator (H-skill) producing … iPhones and a waiter (L-skill) producing dining services. A positive technology shock makes the innovator more productive and … innovator is not directly related to the original technology shock but to the demand from the waiter and that is exactly why the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893921
This paper quantifies global demand, supply and uncertainty shocks and compares two major global recessions: the 2008-09 Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. We use two alternate approaches to decompose economic shocks: text mining techniques on earning call transcripts and a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456396
Amidst the recent resurgence of inflation, this paper investigates the interplay of corporate profits and income distribution in shaping inflation and aggregate demand within the New Keynesian framework. We derive a novel analytical condition for profits to be procyclical and inflationary....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337850
Using a survey of Dutch households, we find that individuals who have experienced higher national unemployment rates over their lifetime save more and borrow less, after controlling for aggregate shocks, income, wealth, and demographics. These results are consistent with experience-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424305
find a persistent recession induced by deleveraging can significantly influence growth in productivity. In turn, the growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862525
Using a standard framework from Keynesian economics, we provide novel insights on the dynamic nature of the aggregate earnings-return relation. Aggregate earnings are a measure of aggregate output, and as such, they capture demand and supply shocks. Demand shocks could have positive or negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405975
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