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A number of studies have found that news shocks account for a large part of the aggregate fl uctuations of the main macroeconomic variables.We show that when taking rational expectations into consideration there is a limit on the size of the variance of the news shocks,which has not been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011758913
This paper reviews recent developments in US monetary policy and then discusses some possible reforms that might be considered to modify the behavior of the Federal Reserve System. Since its creation a century ago, the Federal Reserve System has grown from a narrowly defined central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995351
Emerging market economies, which have much of their growth ahead of them, either run or should run persistent current account deficits in order to smooth consumption intertemporally. The counterpart of these deficits is their dependence on capital inflows, which can suddenly stop. We make two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219484
Monetary DSGE models are widely used because they fit the data well and they can be used to address important monetary policy questions. We provide a selective review of these developments. Policy analysis with DSGE models requires using data to assign numerical values to model parameters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025673
wage inflation, the data are measured in a model consistent way, and market-expected interest rates are used to measure the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014369357
-emerging-market-specific) assets that are correlated to sudden stops. We show an example of such an asset based on the S&P 500's implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065667
. Moreover the model supposes an endogenous monetary rule linking nominal rate of interest to inflation and output targets. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067108
Do financial constraints amplify or dampen the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy? To answer this question, we propose a simple empirical strategy that combines (i) firm-level employment and balance sheet data, (ii) identified monetary policy shocks and (iii) survey data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013466140
We study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on euro area inflation and how it compares to the experiences of other …-output linkages, affecting both trade and inflation; (2) inflation can be higher under sector-specific labor shortages relative to a … domestic aggregate demand shocks in explaining euro area inflation over 2020-21; and (4) international trade did not respond to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277488
We estimate a multi-country, multi-sector New Keynesian model to quantify the drivers of domestic inflation during 2020 …-23 in several countries, including the United States. The model matches observed inflation together with sector-level prices … and wages. We further measure the relative importance of different types of shocks on inflation across countries over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440764