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Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility
Marcellino, Massimiliano; Porqueddu, Mario; Venditti, … - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 34 (2016) 1, pp. 118-127
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691233
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Factor models for non-stationary series : estimates of monthly U.S. GDP
Hengge, Martina; Leonard, Seton - 2017
-Gaussian (Kalman) filter. Crucially, consistent estimation does not require differencing the data despite it being cointegrated of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669132
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Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data
Glocker, Christian; Wegmueller, Philipp - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 58 (2020) 1, pp. 73-105
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216360
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Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data
Glocker, Christian; Wegmüller, Philipp - 2017
We develop a small-scale dynamic factor model for the Swiss economy based on an appropriately selected set of indicators. The resulting business cycle factor is in striking accordance with historical Swiss business cycle fluctuations. Our proposed model demonstrates a remarkable performance in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011732586
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Nowcasting German GDP : foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging
Andreini, Paolo; Hasenzagl, Thomas; Reichlin, Lucrezia; … - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 1, pp. 298-313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462781
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Forecasting Portuguese GDP with factor models : pre- and post-crisis evidence
Dias, Francisco C.; Pinheiro, Maximiano; Rua, António - In: Economic modelling 44 (2015), pp. 266-272
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326229
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Forecasting GDP growth rates in the United States and Brazil using Google Trends
Bantis, Evripidis; Clements, Michael P.; Urquhart, Andrew - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 4, pp. 1909-1924
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465341
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Nowcasting GDP using machine learning methods
Kant, Dennis; Pick, Andreas; Winter, Jasper de - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013468761
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Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model : an application to the German business cycle
Carstensen, Kai; Heinrich, Markus; Reif, Magnus; … - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 3, pp. 829-850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496873
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Forecasting the production side of GDP
Bäurle, Gregor; Steiner, Elizabeth; Züllig, Gabriel - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011948339