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Most existing studies conclude that the accuracy of analysts' target prices is questionable. In forecasting target prices, analysts estimate a future stock price under the constraint of a time frame of usually 12 months. We exclude this source of uncertainty by focusing on valuations in takeover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005439
This paper focuses on the investment value of information contained in the tails of the analyst forecast distribution. I determine the investment value of the tails by looking at dissident analysts -- who release EPS forecasts far from the prevailing consensus. I then test the hypothesis that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008332
We examine whether analysts tip investors during investor conferences. We find that conference-day abnormal returns of a presenting company are about 0.6% higher when the conference is hosted by an analyst who will initiate coverage with a Buy recommendation than when the conference is hosted by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857432
We propose an ex ante measure of analysts' production of private information (PPI) based on the correlations between analysts' forecast revisions and prior stock price changes. We validate this measure by examining whether analysts with lower correlations (higher PPI) provide more information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857457
Capitalizing on a quasi-natural experiment in China where certain investment banks become investible to the global market across different periods, we explore the role that stock market liberalization plays in shaping local analysts' incentives to provide high quality forecasts. In a staggered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861751
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055136
Sell-side security analysts are considered as financial intermediaries who process, transform and transfer information in order to enable investors to make appropriate investment decisions. Prior research provides mixed evidence on the effect of experience on analysts' accuracy. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056181
We examine the value of analyst Free Cash Flow (FCF) forecasts in the context of target price changes. We argue that investors can use FCF forecasts to distinguish between FCF based target price changes and less informative target price changes primarily driven by discount rate, long term growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056234
This study analyzes the impact of analysts' recommendations on stock prices in the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) using the Morning Shout, a report published daily by Khadim Ali Shah Bukhari Securities Ltd (KASB) which includes buy and sale recommendations about different stocks. Using event study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059981
We find strong evidence that analysts tend to have downward-biased earnings estimates immediately before merger announcement dates when earning announcement date is within a 60 day window prior to merger announcement date. Compared to pure stock deals, acquirer stocks in cash-only deals tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017575