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We challenge the narrative that climate change transition risk is not being priced into sovereign bond markets. Climate change transition risk, as measured by carbon dioxide emissions, natural resources rents and renewable energy consumption, are factored into sovereign bond yields (and spreads)...
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We explore the rapidly changing social and news media landscape that is responsible for the dissemination of information vital to the efficient functioning of the financial markets. Using the sheer volume of social and news media activity, commonly known as buzz, we document three distinct...
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It has recently been suggested that speculation is now playing an important role in daily price movements of global oil prices. This raises the question: what are important drivers of price changes given this new 'speculative' regime? We identify new factors of the oil market related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105542
We measure the performance of Multi Model Inference (MMI) forecasts compared to predictions made from a single model for crude oil prices. We forecast the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot prices using total OECD petroleum inventory levels, surplus production capacity, the CBOE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090839
It has recently been suggested that financial speculation is now playing an important role in daily price movements of global oil prices. This raises the question: what are important drivers of price changes given this new speculative regime? We identify new factors of the oil market related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001480
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