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Forecasting Tail Risks
De Nicolo, Gianni - 2015
This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial risks obtained using a large database of monthly U.S. data for the period 1972:1-2014:12 Pseudo-real time forecasts are generated from: (a) sets of autoregressive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012648
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Forecasting Tail Risks
De Nicolo, Gianni - 2015
the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024363
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Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates
Salisu, Afees A.; Olaniran, Abeeb; Tchankam, Jean Paul - In: Energy economics 109 (2022), pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013283764
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Tail risk and investors' concerns : evidence from Brazil
Freire, Gustavo - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 58 (2021), pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187641
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Nonparametric tail risk, stock returns, and the macroeconomy
Almeida, Caio; Ardison, Kym; Garcia, René; Vicente, Jose - In: Journal of financial econometrics : official journal of … 15 (2017) 3, pp. 333-376
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987494
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Rejoinder on: nonparametric tail risk, stock returns, and the macroeconomy
Almeida, Caio; Ardison, Kym; Garcia, René; Vicente, Jose - In: Journal of financial econometrics : official journal of … 15 (2017) 3, pp. 418-426
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987534
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Tail risk and expected stock returns around the world
Long, Huaigang; Zhu, Yanjian; Chen, Lifang; Jiang, Yuexiang - In: Pacific-Basin finance journal 56 (2019), pp. 162-178
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169574
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Business Cycles and Portfolio Tail Risk Forecasting
Zhou, Clara; Jiao, Lei; Faff, Robert W.; Liao, Yin - 2022
We propose a new 3-step resampling approach to forecast portfolio tail risk conditional on the economic state. The … risk measures using the forecasted joint return distribution. This approach favorably accounts for time variation in the … portfolio tail risk forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237971
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The sum of all fears : forecasting international returns using option-implied risk measures
Gagnon, Marie-Hélène; Power, Gabriel J.; Toupin, Dominique - In: Journal of banking & finance 146 (2023), pp. 1-22
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248207
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Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. over a century : the role of spillovers and oil tail risks
Salisu, Afees A.; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 59 (2022), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013413542