The predictive power of the yield curve slope, or the yield spread is well established in the United States (US) and European Union (EU) countries since 1998. However, there exists a gap in the literature on the predictive power of the yield spread on the Chinese economy. This paper provides a...

We investigate the effects of US federal spending news on the S&P 500 stock price index using a Mixed Frequency Time-Varying Parameters Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive (MF-TVP-FAVAR) model. Unlike previous studies that rely on media coverage of spending changes and use indirect spending...