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can reduce a country’s default-risk spreads …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492698
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012659594
approach is based on a novel sovereign credit risk model accounting for the joint dynamics of debt, the fiscal limit, and bond … nonlinear sensitivities of credit spreads to fiscal conditions. We also obtain sizeable estimates of sovereign credit risk … premiums – the components of sovereign spreads that would not exist if agents were risk-neutral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847157
the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152926
We study sovereign debt and default policies when credit and liquidity risk are jointly determined. To account for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352370
We develop a dynamic recursive model where political and economic decisions interact, to study how excessive debt-GDP ratios affect political sustainability of prudent fiscal policies. Rent seeking groups make political decisions - to cooperate (or not) - on the allocation of fiscal budgets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302496
We examine whether changes in sovereign credit ratings assessments provided by rating agencies help to determine international bank flows to emerging countries. We focus on the quarterly banking flows of G7 countries to a sample of 55 emerging market borrowers for the period 1995-2008. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094799
freezes in response to shocks to the risk bearing capacity of market makers while investor rebalancing is triggered by wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865537
This paper assesses redenomination risk in the euro area. We first estimate daily default-risk-free yield curves for … redenomination risk from the yield spreads between these two types of bonds. Redenomination risk primarily shows up at the short end … -2% for Germany. The ECB's interventions designed to reduce the risk of a breakup successfully did so for Italy, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865446
sovereign risk factor, a European sovereign risk factor and a Financial intermediaries risk factor. Our main findings are as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088213