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sampling inherent in survey longitudinal data, (3) incorporation of predetermined variables in estimation, and (4 …This chapter presents a unified set of estimation methods for fitting a rich array of models describing dynamic … chapter is motivated by the principle that, whenever possible, estimation methods should rely on routines available in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024953
building are parameter estimation and evaluation that are also briefly considered. There are two possibilities of generating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023698
We introduce and investigate some properties of a class of nonlinear time series models based on the moving sample quantiles in the autoregressive data generating process. We derive a test fit to detect this type of nonlinearity. Using the daily realized volatility data of Standard & Poor's 500...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989
nonparametric estimation where the focus is the nonparametric quantity itself and the choice rule balances asymptotic variance with … squared asymptotic bias. It turns out that the optimal bandwidth for interval estimation has a different expansion rate and is … typically substantially larger than the optimal bandwidth for point estimation of the standard errors. The new approach to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771849
The literature on heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) inference is extensive but its usefulness relies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293025
We develop a new targeted maximum likelihood estimation method that provides improved forecasting for misspecified …-validation procedure. In a set of Monte Carlo experiments we reveal that the estimation method can significantly improve the forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416341
We develop a penalized two-pass regression with time-varying factor loadings. The penalization in the first pass enforces sparsity for the time-variation drivers while also maintaining compatibility with the no arbitrage restrictions by regularizing appropriate groups of coefficients. The second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487589
nonstationary. We also establish the estimation theory and asymptotic properties for these models in the short horizon and long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011775136
This paper is concerned with problem of variable selection and forecasting in the presence of parameter instability. There are a number of approaches proposed for forecasting in the presence of breaks, including the use of rolling windows or exponential down-weighting. However, these studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258549
This paper considers model averaging in spectral density estimation. We construct the spectral density function by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947449