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The unemployed in the United States appear to allocate time to job search activities regardless of the stance of the economy. Drawing on the American Time Use Survey between 2003 and 2014, I document that the unemployed increase their search intensity only slightly if at all during recessions....
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This report discusses the economic impact of the Coronavirus/COVID-19 crisis across industries, and countries. It also provides estimates of the potential global economic costs of COVID-19, and the GDP growth of different countries. The current draft includes estimates for 30 countries, under...
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We examine the impact of COVID-19 on employment in South Korea as of June 2020. To estimate the causal effect, we use two complementary methods. First, using individual-level data without residence information, we estimate the effects by controlling for detailed characteristics of individuals....
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that is a central feature of the History of Economic Thought. -- Interest rates ; nominal vs. real ; Inflation ; deflation …
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The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is a widely used indicator of funding conditions in the interbank market. As of 2013, LIBOR underpins more than $300 trillion of financial contracts, including swaps and futures, in addition to trillions more in variable-rate mortgage and student loans....
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COVID-19 created major disruptions for young people including health concerns, school closures, reduced social opportunities, and a wilting economy. We examine the effect of COVID-19 on high school completion in the United States. We find that high school completion rates increased considerably...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305005
monetary policy since the onset of the 2007–08 financial crisis in a number of measures of deflation probability — the Survey …) forecasts. To do so, we use stochastic simulations of the model to generate measures of deflation probability in which the … a lower bound on policy rates. We find that measures of deflation probability are consistent with the perception that …
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