This paper examines the existence of excess returns in the commercial property market of Hong Kong using time series data for both valuations and transactions prices. The proposition is that if the valuation series is accurately processing transactions prices then excess returns, if they exist,...

This study applies various popular technical trading rules to Asian property market indices from 1995 to 2015 to investigate the profitability of these rules. The results validate the predictive and profitability power of technical indicators in the markets of Indonesia, Malaysia, Taiwan, and...

We examine the asymmetric impact of shocks to macroeconomic expectations and their underlying dispersion on equity risk premia across different market regimes. First, we rely on a two-state logit mixture vector autoregressive model and use Consensus Economics survey data on GDP growth,...

We examine the asymmetric impact of shocks to macroeconomic expectations and their underlying dispersion on equity risk premia across different market regimes. First, we rely on a two-state logit mixture vector autoregressive model and use Consensus Economics survey data on GDP growth,...

Noise trading has been intensively studied in finance, but rarely in real estate. Theories of price dispersion have also been well established in retailing research, but less so in real estate. This paper is the first attempt to study the effect of noise trading on price dispersion in the real...

Big house or small house, which one should we buy? To answer this question, we employed both mean-variance approach and stochastic dominance approach that utilizes the entire yield distribution to rank the performance of the Hong Kong housing market. While mean-variance rules cannot show a clear...

This paper examines how the quantitative easing (QE) policy conducted by Japan, EU and the US raised Hong Kong's real estate prices through activities in carry trade and in Hong Kong's real estate investment trust (H-REIT) market. The empirical results demonstrated two new channels of impact....

This study applies the newly developed bubble detection method (Phillips, Wu and Yu, 2011) to identifying asset bubbles in the Hong Kong residential property market. Our empirical results show that the method is capable of detecting the 1997 bubble and is able to reveal the corresponding...

We estimate a regional model of the prices of Danish single-family houses and show that submarkets are interconnected via relative prices, giving rise to a ripple effect. We find strong evidence of a ripple effect in the short run of the model, but less so in the long run. We extend the model to...