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below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936771
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
Empirical evidence suggests consumers rely on their shopping experiences to form beliefs about inflation. In other …. Learning by shopping anchors households' beliefs about inflation to its past, causing disagreement with firms over the value of … inflation, increases the degree of anchoring of households' inflation expectations, and flattens the slope of the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069687
There is a growing body of literature examining the effectiveness of the monetary policy on the macroeconomy in different contexts for developed and developing countries. However, lately, especially after the GFC, the focus of research shifted to examine the role of uncertainty in economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306714
measures, resulting from the new model, can be used to implement joint risk scenario analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350458
This paper extends a standard New Keynesian model to describe the effects of anticipated shocks to inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123948
Not being doubtful of the fact that Inflation is one of the most important macroeconomic indicators assessing the … economic well-being of a nation, this paper seeks to develop a model to forecastmonthly inflation for Liberia using Time Series … Econometric tools and concepts. The paper used a monthly data on inflation from January 2005 through May 2018. Part of the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865527
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065408
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065487