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Using detailed micro-data, this paper documents that households with lower income risk (and higher income levels) exhibit a higher Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) in response to transitory income shocks, all else being equal. This finding is particularly significant among unconstrained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482888
Earnings uncertainty is central to most heterogeneous-household models. Yet, there is surprisingly little evidence on how subjective uncertainty is related to consumption behavior. Using unique data from the Survey of Consumer Expectations, we show that the marginal propensity to consume (MPC)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015371804
Filtered consumption growths, constructed from a broad set of macro variables, improve cross-sectional asset pricing on portfolios formed on size, book-to-market equity, and past performance compared to observed consumption growth. I use two methods to construct measures of filtered consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076994
I study how boundedly rational agents can learn the solution to an infinite horizon optimal consumption problem under uncertainty and liquidity constraints. I present conditions for the existence of an optimal linear consumption rule and characterize it. Additionally, I use an empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106504
I study how boundedly rational agents can learn a "good" solution to an infinite horizon optimal consumption problem under uncertainty and liquidity constraints. Using an empirically plausible theory of learning I propose a class of adaptive learning algorithms that agents might use to choose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074706
Utilizing the asset pricing framework, we justify S-shaped consumption utility functions by reconciling realized consumption with asset returns. The S-shaped consumption utility predicts a possible negative correlation between asset returns and lower quantiles of consumption growth, for which we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258436
In the light of repeated rejections of the Hall (1978) version of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis and other empirical puzzles, the habit formation hypothesis has increased in popularity since the 1980s. However, existing formulations of habit persistence do not always perform well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202818
There exists one potential source which has not obtained full treatment in the recent consumption literature: a negative wealth constraint (NWC). An economic agent who faces the NWC can borrow up to a certain proportion of the present value of labor income. We present an analytically tractable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968454
We document systematic and significant time variation in US lifecycle nondurable consumption profiles. Consumption profiles have consistently become flatter: intergenerational differences in consumption across age groups have decreased over time. Pooling data across different periods to identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240810
We investigate the relevance of aggregate and consumer-specific income uncertainty for aggregate consumption changes in the US over the period 1952-2001. Theoretically, the effect of income risk on consumption changes is decomposed into an aggregate and into a consumer-specific part....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137223