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The volatility of equity returns generally exhibits an asymmetric reaction to positive and negative shocks. Economic … explanations for this phenomenon are leverage and a volatility feedback effect. This paper studies the volatility of gold and … volatility by more than negative shocks. The paper argues that this effect is related to the safe haven property of gold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906144
We observe that daily highs and lows of stock prices do not diverge over time and, hence, adopt the cointegration concept and the related vector error correction model (VECM) to model the daily high, the daily low, and the associated daily range data. The in-sample results attest the importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707381
whether they amplify or dampen volatility conditions in the target market. We use historical decompositions to rearrange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948930
Like no other calamitous event in recent memory, the COVID-19 pandemic has plunged the world’s financial system into …, and kurtosis). With respect to the equity-gold nexus, we find that stock (gold) returns and volatility negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013447921
documents that, when the idiosyncratic volatility is specified by firm size, the size-portfolio idiosyncratic volatility is …, this paper examines the predictive ability of the size-portfolio idiosyncratic volatility for GDP growth. It concludes that … size-portfolio idiosyncratic volatility contain significant information for forecasting future GDP growth for both the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117807
focuses on volatility, where volatility is derived from a GARCH model. The results suggest that models which account for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096369
In this paper we examine the pricing of volatility risk using SPX corridor implied volatility. We decompose model …-free total implied volatility into various components using different segments of the cross section of out-of-the money put and … call option prices. We find that only model-free volatility computed from the cross section of out-of-the-money call option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087088
This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial … volatility forecasting measures on future stock returns in four different periods (bear and bull markets). First we find clear … and robust empirical evidence that the implied idiosyncratic volatility is the best stock return predictor for every sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
show that a greater reliance on foreign market sales increases the conditional volatility of firms' stock returns. The two … economically significant effect on firm-level volatility, although an increase in the intensity of sales through foreign affiliates … has a stronger effect on volatility than a similar change in firms' export intensity. We also uncover evidence consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000911
We document that the variation in market liquidity is an important determinant of momentum crashes that is independent of other known explanations surfaced on this topic. This relationship is driven by the asymmetric large return sensitivity of short-leg of momentum portfolio to changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895183