Estimation of the reduced rank regression model requires restrictions be imposed upon the model. Two forms of restrictions are commonly used. Earlier Bayesian work relied on the triangular method of identification which imposes an a priori ordering on the variables in the system, however,...

We introduce a new class of adaptive Metropolis algorithms called adaptive sticky algorithms for efficient general-purpose simulation from a target probability distribution. The transition of the Metropolis chain is based on a multiple-try scheme and the different proposals are generated by...

This book presents the theory of probability and mathematical statistics at a level suitable for researchers at the frontiers of applied disciplines. Examples and exercises make essential concepts in measure theory and analysis accessible to those with preparation limited to vector calculus....

AbstractThe following sections are included:IntroductionIntegrationIntegrals on Abstract Measure SpacesIntegrals on Sets of Real NumbersProperties of E(·)Expectations as Informative FunctionalsMoments of Random VariablesGenerating FunctionsConditional ExpectationMoments of Conditional...

In this paper, we make use of state space models to investigate the presence of stochastic trends in economic time series. A model is specified where such a trend can enter either in the autoregressive representation or in a separate state equation. Tests based on the former are analogous to...

The Bornhuetter-Ferguson method belongs to the most popular method used to project non-life paid or incurred triangles. For this method, T. Mack (2008) developed a stochastic model allowing the estimation of the prediction error resulting from such projections. Based on this proposed stochastic...

These lecture notes are intended as a supplement to the 2010 book Non-Life Insurance Pricing with Generalized Linear Models by the same authors, They contain an introduction to gradient boosting machines (GBMs) applied to non-life insurance pricing. Starting from exponential dispersion models,...

International statistics regarding the main index registered on the insurance market and in the structure reveals the activity level of insurance on the profile markets and their absorption capacity. Taking into account these results and international comparisons, in Romania, in 2006, which...

In dieser Studie werden die Wirkungen von Arbeitsbeschaffungsmaßnahmen (ABM) in Deutschland auf die individuellen Eingliederungswahrscheinlichkeiten der Teilnehmer in reguläre Beschäftigung evaluiert. Für die Untersuchung wird ein umfangreicher und informativer Datensatz aus den Datenquellen...

Recently, there has been much discussion about replicability and credibility. By integrating the full research record, increasing statistical power, reducing bias and enhancing credibility, meta-analysis is widely regarded as 'best evidence'. Through Monte Carlo simulation, closely calibrated on...