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We consider finite state space stationary hidden Markov models (HMMs) in the situation where the number of hidden states is unknown. We provide a frequentist asymptotic evaluation of Bayesian analysis methods. Our main result gives posterior concentration rates for the marginal densities, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166477
This paper studies large sample properties of a semiparametric Bayesian approach to inference in a linear regression model. The approach is to model the distribution of the regression error term by a normal distribution with the variance that is a flexible function of covariates. The main result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190718
This paper proposes a new Bayesian approach for estimating, nonparametrically, functional parameters in econometric models that are characterized as the solution of a linear inverse problem. By using a Gaussian process prior distribution we propose the posterior mean as an estimator and prove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899494
This paper proposes a new Bayesian approach for estimating, nonparametrically, functional parameters in econometric models that are characterized as the solution of a linear inverse problem. By using a Gaussian process prior distribution we propose the posterior mean as an estimator and prove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010699932
This paper proposes a Bayesian nonparametric modeling approach for the return distribution in multivariate GARCH models. In contrast to the parametric literature, the return distribution can display general forms of asymmetry and thick tails. An infinite mixture of multivariate normals is given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292242
In this paper, we extend the parametric, asymmetric, stochastic volatility model (ASV), where returns are correlated with volatility, by flexibly modeling the bivariate distribution of the return and volatility innovations nonparametrically. Its novelty is in modeling the joint, conditional,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292350
Ignoring endogeneity when assessing investors' decisions carries the risk of biased estimates for the influence of exogeneous marketing variables. This study shows how to overcome this challenge by using Pólya trees in the quantification of impacts on investors' decisions. A total of 2255...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200983
This paper proposes a semiparametric realized stochastic volatility model by integrating the parametric stochastic volatility model utilizing realized volatility information and the Bayesian nonparametric framework. The flexible framework offered by Bayesian nonparametric mixtures not only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201300
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381831
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