Turkish Abstract: Bu çalişmada İkinci Dünya Savaşı sırasında bir kampta paranın görevlerinin nasıl ortaya çıktığı anlatılmaktadır. Böylesi bir kapalı ortamda, sigaranın nasıl bir ‘mübadele aracı' haline geldiği açıklanmaktadır. Okurlar, bütün katılımcıların...

In modelling macroeconomic time series, often a monthly indicator of global real economic activity is used. We propose a new indicator, named World steel production, and compare it to other existing indicators, precisely the Kilian's index of global real economic activity and the index of OECD...

In modelling macroeconomic time series, often a monthly indicator of global real economic activity is used. We propose a new indicator, named World steel production, and compare it to other existing indicators, precisely the Kilian's index of global real economic activity and the index of OECD...

In this Article, I offer a macroeconomic perspective on law that reshapes the microeconomic perspective that currently dominates law and economics. I argue that 1. The economy works one way in ordinary economic conditions, in which supply capacity determines output, and a different way in deep...

The paper develops a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model, which assesses the macroeconomic and labor market effects derived from simulating a positive shock to the stochastic component of the mining-energy sector productivity. Calibrating the model for the Colombian economy, this...

This article shows that the "risk premium" shock in Smets and Wouters (2007) can be interpreted as a structural shock to the demand for safe and liquid assets such as short-term US Treasury securities. Several implications of this interpretation are discussed

The economy is heterogeneous, complex, dynamic, interdependent and interactive. This new market paradigm developed for analyzing economic behaviors gives a holistic analysis of the system by employing the Behavioral Systems Approach, Cobweb Theorem and Evolutionary Game Theory in obtaining the...

Macroeconomics faced substantial internal and external criticism related to the 2007-09 financial crisis. Much of it was based on the unsustainable idea that its goal could or should be unconditional forecasting of business cycles. Critics specially singled out dynamic, stochastic...

I document that the return expectations of Wall Street analysts are contrarian and countercyclical, contrasting with existing evidence that return expectations among Main Street investors (CFOs, retail investors) appear exclusively extrapolative and positively correlated. I demonstrate that an...

This paper studies the macroeconomic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic and makes a first step in adapting the central bank modelling apparatus to the new economic landscape. We augment the ECB-BASE model with the predictive dynamics of the SIR model in order to assess the interplay between...