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One of the key questions about the current economic recovery in the euro area is why the decline in unemployment recorded since the second half of 2013 has been accompanied by subdued growth in nominal wages. In this paper we adopt a Phillips curve framework to assess whether alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927905
This paper presents evidence for sources and channels of nonlinearities and instabilities of the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) for the euro area and all but four member states over the last two decades prior to the COVID-19 crisis. The approach rests upon misspecification testing using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206662
assumptions on the functional correspondence between price inflation, inflation expectations and marginal costs. Expectations are … not assumed to be an unbiased predictor of actual inflation and instead derived from the European Commission’s Consumer … Survey data. The results suggest that expectations drive inflation with a lag of about 6 months, which casts further doubt on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316292
This paper extends the existing literature on the open economy New Keynesian Phillips Curve by incorporating three different factors of production, domestic labor and imported as well as domestically produced intermediate goods, into a general model which nests existing closed economy and open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318511
the determination of inflation and output in the euro area and the existence of a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319711
The paper focuses on the measurement of the NAIRU (Non-Accelerating-Inflation-Rate-of-Unemployment) for the euro area …, methodologies and choice of the inflation indicator. They also show significant inflation forecasting ability and are able to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320321
between price inflation and economic slack became stronger. Instead, there is no clear evidence of a strong(er) relationship … between wage inflation and unemployment. In this paper, we estimate a Phillips curve with time-varying coefficients separately …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710857
Heterogeneity in Phillips Curve slopes among members of a monetary union can lead to downward biases to estimates of the union-wide slope in reduced form regressions. The intuition is that in a monetary union with heterogeneous regional Phillips Curve slopes, the central bank, aiming at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241318
be verified always that exist equal evolution of their variables or for others words, always that inflation and … form and this just happen when inflation and unemployment rates growing for different directions (in the short-run) and … when inflation rate is growing and unemployment doesn't (in the long-run) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014057264
been shown to describe satisfactorily the relationship between inflation and marginal cost both for the United States and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060301