We study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on euro area inflation and how it compares to the experiences of other countries, such as the United States, over the two-year period 2020-21. Our model-based calibration exercises deliver four key results: (1) compositional effects, or the switch...

Trotz des andauernd protektionistischen Kurses der US-Handelspolitik in den letzten Jahren und des Aufstiegs Chinas zur globalen Wirtschaftsmacht bleiben die deutsche und die US-amerikanische Wirtschaft eng miteinander verflochten. Dies gilt umso mehr, als die Vernetzung und die Rolle der...

Europe has been weakened by dif̈Icult UK-EU relations at a time of international challenge. Eight years after the Brexit referendum a new UK government and European Commission provides a good opportunity to reset approaches and put obstructions aside. Too big for either side to ignore, this...

This paper proposes estimating causalities in bilateral international trade in simultaneous systems, including domestic and foreign GDP as well as mutual trade flows. Conventional macroeconomic theory mainly follows partial approaches like import functions or exportled growth. Focusing on the US...