Showing 1 - 10 of 221,816
In this paper, I investigate how inflation signals from different types of newspapers influence household inflation … tabloid's indicator is more effective for predicting perceived inflation among low-income and lower-education households … inflation expectations across various segments of society, providing valuable insights for policymakers to tailor communication …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414286
The purpose of the paper is to introduce the framework for decomposing the forecast of headline inflation, obtained by … inflation forecast, with relatively good fit of equations for food and domestic oil prices. This model serves as satellite model … core inflation. The model for inflation decomposition is a small structural model, set up in state space framework. Kalman …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926820
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391439
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012021773
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415746
) exploring the role that measures of expectations can play in forecasting inflation. While it is households' and firms' inflation … can play in forecasting inflation, this paper finds that they are indicative for future inflationary developments. When it … bring forecast gains when included in forecasting models and can also inform scenario and risk analysis in projection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626673
improves the out-of-sample forecast accuracy of the model. Furthermore, we evaluate the case for introducing a discount factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241110
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799294
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499131