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We analyze the implications for monetary policy when deficient aggregate demand can cause a permanent loss in potential output, a phenomenon termed as output hysteresis. In the model, incomplete stabilization of a temporary shortfall in demand reduces the return to innovation, thus reducing TFP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101398
We show that actively stabilizing economic activity plays a more prominent role in the conduct of monetary policy when potential output is subject to hysteresis. We augment a basic New Keynesian model by hysteresis in potential output and contrast simulation outcomes of this extended model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736122
We provide theory and evidence that relative price shocks can cause aggregate inflation and act as aggregate supply … on U.S. core inflation while depressing U.S. real activity. In a two-sector monetary model with upstream and downstream … predictions. Motivated by post-COVID inflation in the U.S., a model experiment shows that a one-time relative price shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056141
Consumer credit spreads significantly impact consumption and asset dynamics, affecting indebted households' spending behavior and the income sensitivity of consumption. Analyzing Danish data, we find that elevated credit spreads reduce consumption of indebted households. Our results suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480275
counterintuitive inflation reversals where the effect of the interest rate peg can switch from highly inflationary to highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096285
) model. Some variants of the model produce counterintuitive inflation reversals where an interest rate peg leads to sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103549
good inflation. In addition, the Ramsey optimal monetary policy can be approximated reasonably well with a Taylor …-type interest rate rule with weights on both inflation rates and output. -- Inflation and Output Persistence ; Monetary Policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971894
inflation. In the 2000s, and at least until the end of 2007, even larger increases in the price of oil were associated with much … milder movements in output and inflation. Using a structural VAR approach Blanchard and Gali (2007a) argued that this has … reflected in large part a change in the causal relation from the price of oil to output and inflation. In order to shed light on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014201972
degree of wage rigidity makes monetary policy more effective, i.e. a monetary policy shock transmits faster onto inflation … fluctuations. Our results point primarily towards disturbances in the bargaining process as a significant contributor to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832582
This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the … and their interaction is crucial for the dynamics of inflation and unemployment. We estimate a panel VAR with … deterministically varying coeficients and find that there is a profound difference in the responses of unemployment and inflation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003972885