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Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi-country context
Bai, Yu; Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, … - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806332
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Forecasting with instabilities : an application to DSGE models with financial frictions
Cardani, Roberta; Paccagnini, Alessia; Villa, Stefania - 2015
) models affects their forecasting performance. We apply this analysis to medium-scale DSGE models with and without financial … with financial frictions outperform in forecasting inflation but not the GDP growth rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349997
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Macroeconomic information, structural change, and the prediction of fiscal aggregates
Carriero, Andrea; Mumtaz, Haroon; Theophilopoulou, Angeliki - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 2, pp. 325-348
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474102
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Forecasting with instabilities : an application to DSGE models with financial frictions
Cardani, Roberta; Paccagnini, Alessia; Villa, Stefania - In: Journal of macroeconomics 61 (2019), pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243230
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Forecasting economic activity with mixed frequency BVARs
Brave, Scott A.; Butters, R. Andrew; Justiniano, Alejandro - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 4, pp. 1692-1707
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305519
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Modern forecasting models in action : improving macroeconomic analyses at central banks
Adolfson, Malin; Andersson, Michael K.; Lindé, Jesper; … - 2006 - Revised version
There are many indications that formal methods are not used to their full potential by central banks today. In this paper we demonstrate how BVAR and DSGE models can be used to shed light on questions that policy makers deal with in practice using data from Sweden. We compare the forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585648
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Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs
Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, Massimiliano - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 34 (2016) 3, pp. 375-390
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691646
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Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models
Bekiros, Stelios D.; Paccagnini, Alessia - In: Journal of forecasting 35 (2016) 7, pp. 613-632
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011610087
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Forecasting with instabilities : an application to DSGE models with financial frictions
Cardani, Roberta; Paccagnini, Alessia; Villa, Stefania - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140422
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Macroeconomics, nonlinearities, and the business cycle
Reif, Magnus - 2019
Im Zentrum dieser Dissertation steht das Beschreiben und Erklären von Konjunkturdynamiken. Motiviert durch den außerordentlich starken wirtschaftlichen Einbruch in 2008/2009 betont die Arbeit dabei die Wichtigkeit der Nutzung von nichtlinearen Modellansätzen. Die Dissertation kann als Beitrag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154125