This paper studies price discovery in Nikkei 225 markets through the nonlinear smooth transition price adjustments between spot and future prices and across all three futures markets. We test for smooth transition nonlinearity and employ an exponential smooth transition error correction model...

This article re-examines real interest parity (RIP), focusing upon which component of real interest parity drives convergence to parity. We find that it is the reversion of inflation rather than nominal interest rates which is the primary source of convergence to RIP. Nominal interest rate...

Although better information about the dynamics of the yields on financial assets is decisive for both borrowers and lenders alike, it is not uncommon, in the literature, for researchers to employ standard unit-root tests to determine the extent of the persistence, and based on such results,...

Empirical evidence on international yield comovement is sparse and lacks consensus. Employing a dynamic correlation approach, we show that during the recent global financial crisis euro area yields have ceased to comove with the yields of the other international markets - Canada, UK and US. Some...

Using fractional integration and GARCH modeling techniques, this paper investigates the dynamic properties of UK interest rates. We find evidence that, contrary to previous studies for the US and Canada, short rates are more nonstationary compared to longer rates. Further, differences in...

We find that short rates are more nonstationary than longer rates and that differences in conditional volatility exist between different maturities. Therefore, their dynamics may be both maturity specific and country specific, and any a priori generalizing assumptions may be misleading.

This paper illustrates the importance of density forecasting in portfolio decision making involving bonds of different maturities. The forecast performance of an atheoretic and a theory informed model of bond returns is evaluated. The decision making environment is fully described for an...

In this paper, we evaluate the forecast performance of a range of atheoretic and theory informed models of bond and stock returns. The decision making environment is fully described for an investor who would like to optimally allocate his portfolio between bonds and stocks, over an investment...