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Numerous recent empirical studies underscore the adverse impacts of an aging population on economic growth. This could stem from reduced labor force participation and productivity among older workers, or the potential for aging to result in an imbalance between savings and desired investment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014530798
Based on a sample of 126 countries over the period of 1970 to 2019 and 5-year nonoverlapping growth regressions, this study has revealed the existence of an inverted U-shaped aging population Kuznets curve. The threshold levels below (above) which aging population potentially promotes (hampers)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257774
Demographic change is expected to affect labour markets in very different ways on a regional scale. The objective of this paper is to explore the spatio-temporal patterns of recent distributional changes in the workers age structure, innovation output and skill composition for German regions by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730439
We assess the impact of population structure on economic growth. Following recent research, we focus on the generational turnover as a key driver of consumption growth. We characterize the impact of the average birth and death rates on the generational turnover, depending on the age-profile of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477584
The world will experience dramatic demographic change over this century. This paper examines the impacts of this global demographic change on the Australian economy at both the aggregate and sectoral levels in a global multi-region and multi-sector general equilibrium model. Using a detailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838076
We assess the impact of continued low fertility in China, versus a rebound in fertility due to the relaxation of the one child policy, on demographic and macroeconomic outcomes in a dynamic general equilibrium framework. We use a rich model of human capital investment, public health insurance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950124
We argue theoretically and document empirically that aging leads to greater (industrial) automation, and in particular, to more intensive use and development of robots. Using US data, we document that robots substitute for middle-aged workers (those between the ages of (36 and 55). We then show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820230
This paper examines the extent to which changes in working-age shares associated with population aging might slow economic growth in upcoming years. We first analyze the economic effects of changing working-age shares in a standard empirical growth model using country panel data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014326800
This paper examines the extent to which changes in working-age shares associated with population aging might slow economic growth in upcoming years. We first analyze the economic effects of changing working-age shares in a standard empirical growth model using country panel data from 1950-2015....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332127
This paper provides an overview of the employment situation of young and old workers in the EU Member States, setting out the most recent development during the crisis and dealing with policies implemented to promote the employment of both groups. The evidence collected shows that there is no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228786