In this paper, we present an innovative electricity spot price model, wherein the prices explicitly depend on outdoor temperature. The proposed arithmetic multi-factor approach captures numerous stylized facts of empirical electricity price behavior like seasonal variations, time-dependent...

In this paper, we derive optimal hedging strategies for options in electricity futures markets. Optimality is measured in terms of minimal variance and the associated minimal variance hedging portfolios are obtained by a stochastic maximum principle. Our explicit results are particularly useful...

This paper studies the impact of wind power production on electricity prices in the European energy market. We propose a new modelling framework based on so-called regime-switching Levy semimstationary processes to account for forward-looking information consisting of predicted wind power...

The risky assets prices of the bi-variate model are reviewed under the hegemonize concentration filtered physical probability space. In the stochastic variance of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. The Mean-variance hedging expanse on the Föllmer-Schweizer decomposition is stringent to the...

We derive robust good-deal hedges and valuations under combined model ambiguity about the drift and volatility of asset prices for incomplete markets. Good-deal valuations are determined such that not just opportunities for arbitrage but also for overly attractive reward-to-risk ratios are...

This paper estimates the welfare-optimal market share of wind and solar power, explicitly taking into account their output variability. We present a theoretical valuation framework that consistently accounts for output variability over time, forecast errors, and the location of generators in the...

This paper evaluates investment incentives for wind power under uniform and nodal pricing.An electricity system model is developed, which allows for investments into wind power whileconsidering transmission grid constraints in detail. Targeting equally high wind capacitiesunder nodal and uniform...