Showing 1 - 10 of 98,370
applications respectively on macroeconomic series, with a particular focus on different measures of inflation, and on financial … asset returns. Our model outperforms the benchmarks in forecasting the inflation level, its conditional variance and the … Factor Models ; Multivariate GARCH ; Conditional Covariance ; Inflation Forecasting ; Volatility Forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969239
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125420
applications respectively on macroeconomic series, with a particular focus on different measures of inflation, and on financial … asset returns. Our model outperforms the benchmarks in forecasting the inflation level, its conditional variance and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154951
The paper presents forecasts of headline and core inflation in Estonia with factor models in a recursive pseudo out … large dataset are best suited for forecasting headline inflation. The results also show that models with a larger number of …, core inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890976
Much of the trading activity in Equity markets is directed to brokerage houses. In exchange they provide so-called quot;soft dollarsquot; which basically are amounts spent in quot;researchquot; for identifying profitable trading opportunities. Soft dollars represent about USD 1 out of every USD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966616
In this paper, we assess the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts at the regional level using a large data set at quarterly frequency. We forecast gross domestic product (GDP) for two German states (Free State of Saxony and Baden- Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350218
This paper compares the GDP forecasting performance of alternative factor models based on monthly time series for the French economy. These models are based on static and dynamic principal components. The dynamic principal components are obtained using time and frequency domain methods. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138209
In this paper we investigate whether accounting for non-pervasive shocks improves the forecast of a factor model. We compare four models on a large panel of US quarterly data: factor models, factor models estimated on selected variables, Bayesian shrinkage, and factor models together with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120664
In this paper we explore the performance of bridge and factor models in forecasting quarterly aggregates in the very short-term subject to a pre-selection of monthly indicators. Starting from a large information set, we select a subset of targeted predictors using data reduction techniques as in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066551
Machine learning methods are becoming increasingly popular in economics, due to the increased availability of large datasets. In this paper I evaluate a recently proposed algorithm called Generalized Approximate Message Passing (GAMP), which has been popular in signal processing and compressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955264