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We analyze how trade affects aggregate volatility using a multi-country, multiindustry, and multi-destination framework … covariances). We then use this framework to run counterfactuals changing the degree of destination market diversification …, we find that the effect of increased destination market diversification is quantitatively important in reducing aggregate …
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technological diversification. Production makes use of different input varieties, which are subject to imperfectly correlated shocks …. In our model, the expansion in the number of varieties provides diversification benefits against variety-specific shocks … and it hence lowers the volatility of output. Technological complexity evolves endogenously in response to profit …
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Recent research has documented a U-shaped industrial concentration curve over an economy's development path. How far can neoclassical trade theory take us in explaining this pattern? We estimate the production side of the Heckscher-Ohlin model using industry data on 44 developed and developing...
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This paper explores the relationship between output volatility and economic development. We develop a methodology to … assess countries' extent of sectoral diversification. The productive structure of a country tends to be risky when the …-variance frontiers both for individual countries and for the world, and compute countries' distances to each. We find that as countries …
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