This paper examines the adequacy of the exposure coefficient/beta in measuring the entire impact of exchange rate changes on firms' future operating cash flows. To this end, we investigate the presence of four elements of exchange rate exposure: (a) sensitivity of stock returns to exchange rate...

On the basis that the sources of sign and magnitude asymmetries of exchange rate exposure are largely related to each other, this paper attempts to capture both types of exposure asymmetries in tandem. In addition, the overall impact of incorporating exposure asymmetries on returns is also...

I show that volatility risk of the dollar factor --- an equally weighted basket of developed U.S. dollar exchange rates --- carries a significant risk premium and that it is priced in the cross-section of currency volatility excess returns. The dollar factor volatility risk premium is negative...

We introduce a covariance and spread (i.e., exchange rate forward discount) adjusted carry factor that prices the cross-section of FX market returns, where many other single and multi-factor models fail. Both the covariance matrix of exchange rate growths and forward discounts contain important...

This paper provides empirical evidence for the difference in variance risk premium in the U.S. against other economies (VPI) having significant predictive power on monthly U.S. Dollar movements. The predictive power of VPI is rationalized by the variance risk premium's economic interpretation...

This paper examines exchange rate exposure of country level stock returns in three emerging market economies: Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The analysis is carried out at country level using stock indexes and trade-weighted exchange rates. Time-varying exchange rate exposure coefficients are...

This paper examines the conditional time-varying currency betas from five developed markets and four emerging markets. We employ BEKK multivariate GARCH models of Engle and Kroner (1995) to estimate the time-varying conditional variance and covariance of returns of stock index, the world market...

In this study a regime-switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (camp;f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The camp;f model is tested against alternative regime-switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...

The use of futures exchange contracts instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot yield and the premium. We find that the forward premium puzzle (FFP) depends significantly on the maturity horizon of the futures contract and the choice of sampling...

On September 3-4, 2009, SUERF and Utrecht University School of Economics jointly organized the 28th SUERF Colloquium on "The Quest for Stability" in Utrecht, the Netherlands. The papers contained in this SUERF Study jointly published with DNB and Rabobank are based on contributions to this...