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In this paper, time-varying market and currency risks among a selected set of developed and emerging economies are compared in terms of stochastic dominance. For this purpose, time-varying exchange rate exposure and market betas are obtained through a multivariate model that explicitly allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051331
This paper attempts to find evidence for sign asymmetry of exchange rate exposure. An extended classification of the sources of asymmetry has been introduced in place of somewhat incomplete classification suggested by previous studies. In addition, a new measure is suggested in order to estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051471
This paper uses time-varying second moments to investigate exchange rate exposure betas. Using a BEKK-GARCH(1,21)-M model, time-varying exchange rate exposure betas are obtained with explicit focus on the non-orthogonality between exchange rate changes and market returns. We look into certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051472
This paper examines the adequacy of the exposure coefficient/beta in measuring the entire impact of exchange rate changes on firms' future operating cash flows. To this end, we investigate the presence of four elements of exchange rate exposure: (a) sensitivity of stock returns to exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051496
On the basis that the sources of sign and magnitude asymmetries of exchange rate exposure are largely related to each other, this paper attempts to capture both types of exposure asymmetries in tandem. In addition, the overall impact of incorporating exposure asymmetries on returns is also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051549
External imbalance is a central variable in international economics and recent research shows it is priced in currency portfolios. But Ang et al. (2017), among others, show that with a small and time-varying cross section, tests with individual assets are preferable. We find testing with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912924
I show that volatility risk of the dollar factor --- an equally weighted basket of developed U.S. dollar exchange rates --- carries a significant risk premium and that it is priced in the cross-section of currency volatility excess returns. The dollar factor volatility risk premium is negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920214
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
This paper examines exchange rate exposure of country level stock returns in three emerging market economies: Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The analysis is carried out at country level using stock indexes and trade-weighted exchange rates. Time-varying exchange rate exposure coefficients are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033258
Recent research highlights rapidly rising international reserves relative to GDP in many emerging market economies since the 1990s. According to many observers, these countries opted for new policy in the aftermath of crises consisting at accumulating international re-serves to insure themselves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014128886