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We investigate heterogeneity and spillovers in macro-financial linkages across developed economies, with a particular emphasis in the most recent recession. A panel Bayesian VAR model including real and financial variables identifies a statistically significant common component, which turns out...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605543
This paper evaluates the data from the recent financial crisis to examine the risk spillover effects of financial … markets value at risk (VaR), which captures the extreme behavior of an asset, is considered a measure of risk in an asset or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020190
frictions create volatility: they add an additional, almost acyclical, entry cost to procyclical job creation costs, thus … volatility puzzle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116384
With option-implied volatility indices, we identify networks of global volatility spillovers and examine time …-varying systemic risk across global financial markets. The US stock market is the center of the network and plays a dominant role in … the spread of volatility spillover to other markets. The global systemic risks have intensified since the Federal Reserve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841244
transmission channels for credit risk contagion between sovereign entities. We analyse an intraday dataset for GIIPS countries as … important in the transmission of sovereign risk contagion, but that the importance of the bond market waned during the crisis … news shock, we can show that, during the crisis period, sovereign credit risk was not related to economic fundamentals but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979715
In this paper, I build a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model and estimate it using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. I use the results in order to examine how asset prices and macroeconomic quantities respond to the di erent shocks in the economy. Fluctuations in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121340
We propose a new empirical framework that jointly decomposes the conditional variance of economic time series into a common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a large dataset of disaggregated industrial production series for the US economy. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419275
particular, an increase in the volatility of idiosyncratic productivity shocks significantly decreases aggregate output without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496498
Using dynamic factor models and state-space techniques we quantify financial cycles for twenty European countries over the period 1960Q1–2015Q4 capturing imbalances across credit, housing, bond and equity markets. The paper documents the existence of slow-moving and persistent financial cycles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012153925